BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Montana St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 122 Conference: Big Sky Record: (13-6) Overall: (20-11) Overall Strength =   42.86

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    42.56  78  31   ZZ 110 (  0-  1) Providence GF           0.00 *   47.00                      
  2 11-12-2022 Away    W    57.12  69  60    1 103 ( 16- 15) BYU                    14.56     -5.56                      
  3 11-15-2022 Home    L    28.08  64  79    1 102 (  8- 20) Arizona St            -14.48     -0.52                      
  4 11-18-2022 Home    W    45.72  77  66    1 176 ( 18- 11) North Dakota            3.16      7.84                      
  5 11-22-2022 Away    W    42.06  74  65 1  1 255 (  6- 24) San Jose St            -0.50      9.50                      
  6 11-25-2022 Neutral L    32.87  61  66    1 155 ( 15- 14) Abilene Chr            -9.70      4.70                      
  7 11-27-2022 Away    L    30.72  57  66    1 178 ( 11- 19) North Texas           -11.84      2.84                      
  8 11-30-2022 Home    W    60.82  71  66    1  50 ( 26-  5) S Dakota St            18.26    -13.26                      
  9 12-02-2022 Away    L    39.68  59  67    1 106 ( 20-  9) Wyoming                -2.89     -5.11                      
 10 12-12-2022 Home    W    70.83  91  56    1 162 ( 13- 18) St Mary's CA           28.26      6.74                      
 11 12-17-2022 Neutral L    34.10  52  91    1   5 ( 28-  2) LSU                    -8.47 *  -30.53                      
 12 12-18-2022 Neutral W    56.97  64  43    1 203 ( 10- 20) Nevada                 14.41      6.59                      
 13 12-29-2022 Away    L *  20.16  53  72    1 196 ( 13- 16) Idaho                 -22.41      3.41                      
 14 12-31-2022 Away    W *  52.55  92  84    1 129 ( 18- 10) E Washington            9.99     -1.99                      
 15 01-05-2023 Home    W *  51.95  61  40    1 231 ( 13- 18) N Colorado              9.38     11.62                      
 16 01-07-2023 Home    L *  35.75  80  85    1 124 ( 20- 12) Northern Arizona       -6.82      1.82                      
 17 01-12-2023 Away    W *  40.46  60  57    1 213 ( 11- 19) Idaho St               -2.11      5.11                      
 18 01-14-2023 Away    W *  43.39  80  65    1 301 (  6- 25) Weber St                0.83     14.17                      
 19 01-16-2023 Home    W *  41.04  72  65    1 196 ( 13- 16) Idaho                  -1.53      8.53                      
 20 01-21-2023 Away    W *  51.48  72  63    1 144 ( 13- 15) Montana                 8.92      0.08                      
 21 01-26-2023 Home    W *  43.11  64  52    1 225 ( 15- 15) Portland St             0.54     11.46                      
 22 01-28-2023 Home    W *  44.86  61  60    1  98 ( 22-  7) CS Sacramento           2.29     -1.29                      
 23 02-02-2023 Away    L *  16.87  50  79    1 124 ( 20- 12) Northern Arizona      -25.69     -3.31                      
 24 02-04-2023 Away    W *  56.07  80  60    1 231 ( 13- 18) N Colorado             13.50      6.50                      
 25 02-09-2023 Home    W *  38.27  75  60    1 301 (  6- 25) Weber St               -4.29     19.29                      
 26 02-11-2023 Home    W *  49.34  70  53    1 213 ( 11- 19) Idaho St                6.77     10.23                      
 27 02-18-2023 Home    W *  39.36  75  73    1 144 ( 13- 15) Montana                -3.20      5.20                      
 28 02-23-2023 Away    L *  39.98  73  82    1  98 ( 22-  7) CS Sacramento          -2.59     -6.41                      
 29 02-25-2023 Away    W *  65.23  63  34    1 225 ( 15- 15) Portland St            22.66      6.34                      
 30 02-27-2023 Home    L *  26.43  65  78    1 129 ( 18- 10) E Washington          -16.13      3.13                      
 31 03-05-2023 Neutral L *  21.67  65  77    1 225 ( 15- 15) Portland St           -20.90      8.90                      
      Averages              42.56  68.6 64.4

Best game:   70.83 = 35 point win over St Mary's CA
Worst game:  16.87 = 29 point loss to Northern Arizona
Team stdev:  12.97